Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
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Crown Green Handicap

Tom Roberts

Team: Heswall RBL BDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

830

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

36

Matches Played

18

Wins

18

Losses

50%

Win Rate

6.1

Avg Win Margin

7.1

Avg Loss Margin

11-8

Home Record

7-10

Away Record

85%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
36 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 4/24/2026

A solid recent sample: 36 of 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins18/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 36 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

17 May14 Jun5 Jul23 Aug13 Jun7 Jul25 Jul24 Apr-13714

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.1
score-0.32→contribution-0.08
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.1
score+0.16→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
65%
score+0.30→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
858
score-0.16→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.044
Sample Size Confidence
85%(36/39 matches)
Rating978 → shrunk 981→ adjusted 831
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)828
Recency Blend40% (36 recent matches)
Final Rating830
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

18W18L36 matches·50% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Heswall RBL B2024–2026League 236181850%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
4/24/2026Sue TilstonH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
8/22/2025John MountfordH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
8/18/2025Steven PrestonA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
8/11/2025Craig EdwardsH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2025Tommy JamesA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
7/25/2025Eddie RimmerH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2025Mervyn PryceA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
7/18/2025Colin GoodwinH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
7/11/2025Tony DaviesA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 2
7/7/2025Andrew MeldrumH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
7/4/2025Steve RowlandA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 2
6/30/2025Stephen MarksH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
6/27/2025Steve HollywoodA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 2
6/13/2025Gavin MellingH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2025Nick WoodwardA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
6/6/2025Paul NelsonH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 2
5/30/2025Mark HoughtonA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
5/23/2025Scott NewshamH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
8/23/2024Sam WilliamsH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
8/16/2024vs Gladstone BA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
7/26/2024Philip McgunigallA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
7/19/2024Jeremy BradshawH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 2
7/12/2024Steve RowlandH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
7/5/2024Brenda BoultonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
6/28/2024Arthur HallH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
6/24/2024Wendy ThompsonA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 2
6/17/2024vs Naval ClubA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 2
6/14/2024George GouldingH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
6/7/2024Rob LewisH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 2
6/3/2024Geoff StampA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
5/31/2024Graham WalkerH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
5/24/2024Jeremy BradshawA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
5/17/2024Keith BennettH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
5/13/2024Phil LeechH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
5/10/2024Jake McelnayA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
4/26/2024Alan DunbarA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl2 games · 1W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundSteve GreenfieldGladstone B21-9WINLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 Round* Nick Burridge JnrGladstone3-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundJordan McelnayGladstone B13-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WWLLL
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
WWLLLWWLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Steve Rowland11250%7/4/2025
Jeremy Bradshaw11250%7/19/2024
Sue Tilston101100%4/24/2026
John Mountford101100%8/22/2025
Steven Preston0110%8/18/2025
Craig Edwards0110%8/11/2025
Tommy James0110%8/4/2025
Eddie Rimmer101100%7/25/2025
Mervyn Pryce101100%7/21/2025
Colin Goodwin0110%7/18/2025
Biggest Win
Tony Davies (+13)7/11/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-17)8/16/2024
Best Season
202565% · 17 matches
Worst Season
202433% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
33% → 67%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
85034 known · 2 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-233% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
17-1455% win rate
League 250%
18W·18L·36 played

Debut

Apr 26, 2024

Latest

Apr 24, 2026

Seasons Active

3 (2.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.0 (36 total)

Seasons

202420252026